UEFA Champions League best bets for second leg of the semifinals

After half an hour of each semifinal’s first leg, my picks looked terrible.

Real Madrid and Chelsea were tied at one, and the game was far more open than most expected. PSG led Manchester City 1-0 and (more surprisingly) was controlling the game, outshooting City 7-1 through 30 minutes.

Then order was restored over the final hour. Neither Real Madrid nor Chelsea scored again, hitting the under of 2.5. And Man City regained its form in the second half to win 2-1.

That leaves both English teams in fine shape heading home for this week’s second legs. With the away win, City saw its Soccer Power Index projections to advance rise from 81 percent to 95 percent. Chelsea’s road draw bumped its SPI chances from 51 percent to 62 percent.

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